Back to 2025 Programme
International Migration, Exchange Rate Shocks, and Education Investment
Sydney, Australia 24 August 2025 – 26 August 2025
Masyhur Hilmy (UNSW)
A4 — Information and People Flows in History
Chair: Gianluca Russo
Room UNSW Business School 216
Economics / Institutions and organizations in political economy
Abstract
International migrants channel resources from abroad, but if they cause the state to reduce public investments back home, they may lead to negative development outcomes. I use Indonesian migrant returnees data and district variations in migration destinations and exchange rate shocks to estimate the effects of foreign income shocks on education investments. Households in higher-shock districts send more children to school, prompting the government to increase public schools. The state also provides other public goods complementing household investments. These responses to shocks are not driven by election or taxation, but rather by policy commitments and interactions with district splitting.