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Pandering to the Future

Fontainebleau, France 13 July 2026 – 15 July 2026

Benjamin Blumenthal (ULB)

A5 Dynamic Models of Politics
Chair: Benjamin Shaver
Amphi Suddens
Economics / Institutions and organizations in political economy

Abstract

I study a model of delegated experimentation in which actions signal agents' underlying type---careerist or partisan. I show that careerist agents pander to the future by choosing the action most likely to be preferred ex post by the principal. I discuss when and why this behaviour differs from selecting the principal’s ex ante preferred action, which balances static and dynamic learning benefits. I conclude my analysis by considering implications for agents' responsiveness to changes in actions' popularity, for the benefits and costs of transparency, and for the role of partisanship structures.

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